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BHP revisited [2009-10-31] |
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BHP Billiton (BLT:LSE) or for US investors BHP ADRS ( BHP:NYSE) BHP Billiton is the result of a 2001 merger between Australia's BHP Ltd and the U.K.'s Billiton PLC BHP is a core resource investment for any conservative portfolio. The recent pull back in the stock price has created an opportunity to pick up this blue chip at a reasonable price. Unexpectedly, BHP reported weaker than expected 4th Quarter 09 sales volumes. This was due mainly to softer demand, operational outages, bad weather and output curtailments. 4th Quarter 09 iron ore volumes fell 8%, well below expectations, due to tie-in activities for the Rapid Growth Project (RGP) 4 and safety initiatives. Energy coal and copper were also conspicuously hard hit. Coal production volumes rose 16% but sales volumes were flat due to weak US and Hunter Valley shipments. These results are already factored into BHP's share price. We see this as an opportunity to accumulate the shares whilst their price is depressed. At end of FY09, BHP had 235kt of outstanding copper sales valued at US$2.24/lb. The spot price for copper is now over US$2.40/lb and we believe this will provide a favourable earnings kicker for 1st Quarter 2010. Anyone wanting a core, long term conservative holding for their portfolio should consider BHP. Buy BHP Billiton (BLT:LSE) up to 1700p or for US investors Buy BHP ADRS ( BHP:NYSE) up to $68 |
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